Wednesday, May 19, 2010

The Aftermath - What does it all mean?

  • Rep. Joe Sestak wins the Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania against Republican-turned-Democrat incumbent Senator Arlen Specter.
  • Democrats Sen. Blanche Lincoln (44%) & Lt. Gov. Bill Halter (43%) will go to primary runoff.
  • Democrat Mark Critz wins race against Republican Tim Burns in a special election in Pennsylvania to fill the seat of the late Rep. John Murtha.
  • Tea Party Candidate Rand Paul defeats Republican establishment opponent Secretary of State Trey Grayson (Mitch McConnell's candidate) in Kentucky GOP Senate primary.
So you had the Tea Party guy beat the Republican candidate, which as Z pointed out yesterday, will now lend a bit of self-proclaimed political mojo to their resume.  But do they have the juice to go all the way this fall during the General Election?  That remains to be seen. For now, however, the media seems content with pointing out two take away points: (1) The Tea Party has juice and Barack Obama better listen up, and (2) Mitch McConnell and by extension, the Republican Party Establishment, was dealt an undeniable blow last night as McConnell's boy went down in flames by a 20 point spread.

What is also gaining some tracking in the media (although not much surprisingly) is the seat that Democrats held on to in Pennsylvania against the Republicans.  There's been a lot of hype lately that the Democrats are all going to collectively go the way of the dinosaur come this fall's General Election because (according to legend) the Republicans are going to take over the Senate and the House.  Ehhh...according to last night, not so much.  The Republicans had one seat to focus on last night where they went head to head with the Democrats in a district where Obama's approval rating was only 35%, and the Republicans lost.  So much for urban legend.

After last night, the media buzz  now seems to be less about the new Republican wave that's coming in November and more about the "anti-establishment" wave that's coming in Novemeber.

What are your thoughts?  Is the Tea Party taking over?  Are the Dems still going to lose in the General Election this fall?  Does this give us any insight into 2012?
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